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POST' 50 ECONOMIC DEVELOPEMENTS

IMKB

By adopting industralisation strategies, economic policies, and an export-oriented vision Turkey’s market economy made a significant
attack after the 80ies. With further reforms and investments grew the
private sector. In the 90ies industrial value grew 6.6 % (annual)
and 4.2 % in the next decade.

After the economic crisis and depreciation of the Turkish Lira in 2001 the economy of Turkey has changed. It showed a rapidly growth
for the following 3 years. The high and persistent inflation went down from 70 % to single numbers. The nominal and real interest rates have decreased decisively and debt ratio of overnment decreased significantly. These economic policies will be kept.

 
After the war a period of economic expansion set in, generated by several favorable factors such as the infrastructurewhich had been completed in previous years, the extension of education and the establishment of many industrial concerns. Moreover, the accumulation of foreign exchange during the war and the infusion of marshall aid all contributed to economic expansion.
   The socio-political change which had occurred in the country contributed to the expansion to a great extent. The introduction of the new political regime allowing the existence of many political parties instead of one part,, as the case had been before, had far reaching consequences. In fact, in 1950, the victory of the Democrat Party, which was founded by the dissidents of the previously ruling Republican People's Party, caused a fundamental change in the administrative principles of the government. A more democratic administration, based on the principle of satisfying the wishes of the electorate, created an atmosphere where the great majority of citizens wanted to cooperate with the government in the acceleration of economic development.
   State intervention into economic affairs, which was intensified during the War, gave over to a more liberal economic policy. The role of private enterprise and initiative was recognized and its future contribution to economic development was highly regarded; this constituted a substantial change of attitude towards it. The result of the changes and the transformation they brought about in the economy was the speeding up of the rate increase in the national income, (GNP), which went up to a yearly 6.3 per cent (calculated at compounded interest rates) for the entire period of 1950-1960.
   After a military coup in 1960 a military junta took over the government. One of the first measures of the State Planning Organization (SPO).

Structure of National Income

   Since 1960 the Turkish economy has undergone important structural changes. The graphy shows the shares of the agricultural, industrial and service sectors in national out put. The agricultural sector has declined steadily with a corresponding increase in the share contributed to national income by industry and services. Turkey shifted from an economy primarily based on agricultural to a semi-industrial economy.
In 1963 agricultural's share of GNP was double that of industry's. In 1973 industry's contribution exceeded agricultural's for the first time and has since retained a modest lead. The transformation of Turkey into a semi-industrial country has been responsible for the major part of total economic growth. ın the 1960s high annual average growth in the industrial sector (9.6 per cent) particularly in its manufacturing component, was almost four times greater than agriculture's 2.5 per cent. The differential narrowed during the 1970s but industry still grew at twice the pace of agriculture. Over the total period the service sector has also increased its share of national income but at a rate only slightly higher than the overall increase.


 

 

 

 

Distribution of national income

   A major benefit of the economy's increasing industrialisation has been greater stability in the growth rate as the overall performance of the economy became less dependent on agriculture. In the years before 1965 when agriculture still accounted for roughly one third of total output, poor harvests were the primary reason for a decline or slow down in the economy. Nevertheless while the steadily industriallisation of Turkey may have diminished the importance of agriculture in total output, in 1980, 54 per cent of the labour force was still employed in agriculture. In comparison the service sector accounted for approximately 33 per cent of the labour force and industry only 13 per cent.
   Turkey started with agriculture occupying a much larger proportion of GNP in 1960 thann other oil importing middle income countries.And by 1980, although agriculture as a percentage of Turkish GNP had decline by almost half since 1960, Turkey's agricultural sector was still significantly larger than that in other oil-importing middle income countries. But growth in Turkish agriculture over the period at just over 3 per cent a year was significantly lower than growth in the economy as a whole. So one reason for Turkey's relatively modest overall growth performance was the importance of agriculture in the economy and its slow rate of growth.
   Comparison of Turkey's rate of investment with the increase in investment under taken in other developing countries implies a high degree of inefficiency in the Turkish economy. Turkey's relatively high rate of investment is striking, averaging 8.8 percent during the 1960s and rising to 9.4 per cent during the 1970s. Gross domestic investment was well above that in the other developing countries yet Turkey's economic growth was below average. The productivity of new investment was apparently low. National comparisons of the distributionof GDP by sectors of demand show the strong growth in Turkey's investment as a percentage of GDP which closed the differential between Turkey and other middle income countries. Of particular importance are the changes in the difference between groos domestic investment and groos domestic savings : this is a measure of a country's current account deficit and the capital inflow required to finance it. Turkey suffered a particularly sharp deterioration in its resource balance between 1960 and 1980 rising from 3 per cent 9 per cent of GDP. Other developing countries export earnings increased sufficiently to provide a cushion. This was not the case for Turkey: while export earnings rose sharply over the 20 year period - the rise was largely due to the flow of workers remittances- it was not sufficient to service the country's debt.

A Sunflower Garden

The 1980 stabilisation measures

   The stabilisation measures introduced in 1980 and reinforced later in the year were a comprehensive attempt to reform the economy. Since the end of 1977 rising inflation and an external payments crisis had forced Turkey to introduce a series of deflationary measures. However, two attempts at economic stabilisation in 1978 and 1979 had failed to produce lasting results.
   The novelty, for Turkey, of the policies, adopted in January,1980, was in its underlying strategy of relying on market forces in conjunction with a reduction in State controls to guide the future development of the economy. The most decisive break with past policies was in the decision to open up the Turkish economy to foreign competition and foreign investment.
  

 


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